Railroad transportation of crude oil in Canada: Developing long-term forecasts, and evaluating the impact of proposed pipeline projects
Title
Railroad transportation of crude oil in Canada: Developing long-term forecasts, and evaluating the impact of proposed pipeline projects
Subject
Crude oil shipment
Forecasting
Geographical information system
Pipelines
Railroad routing
Spatial dynamics
Description
Rail crude oil shipments have witnessed a steady increase over the past decade, which underscore the long-term viability of this transport mode. Although incidents involving these shipments could be catastrophic, having link-level information could be useful for designing appropriate emergency response network and responding to such episodes. We present a data-driven methodology that makes use of analytics to estimate the amount of crude oil on different rail-links in Canada until 2030. The resulting analyses facilitated identifying high-risk links around Canada based on the current practice of the railroad industry, and to suggest that incurring marginally higher transportation costs could reduce network risk. In addition, the availability of the proposed pipeline infrastructure would change the supply and demand location configurations over the forecast horizon, with the maximum changes to the current crude oil traffic flow pattern stemming from the completion of the Energy East pipeline project.
69
Publisher
Journal of Transport Geography
Date
2018-05-01
Contributor
Vaezi, Ali
Verma, Manish
Type
Journal Article
Identifier
MB7WPJGT
0966-6923
10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2018.04.019
Collection
Citation
“Railroad transportation of crude oil in Canada: Developing long-term forecasts, and evaluating the impact of proposed pipeline projects,” Lamar University Midstream Center Research, accessed May 8, 2024, https://lumc.omeka.net/items/show/346.